|
|

In October 1994, the governments of the United States and Canada
convened the first State of the Lakes Ecosystem Conference (SOLEC
'94). The conference was designed to further the purpose of the
Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement between the United States
and Canada, which aims to restore and maintain the chemical, physical,
and biological integrity of the waters of the Great Lakes basin
ecosystem. Background papers prepared for the conference and discussions
that occurred at SOLEC '94 are summarized in a document prepared
by the U.S. and Canadian governments titled "State of the
Great Lakes 1995" (EC and EPA 1995). A second, follow-up
conference (SOLEC '96) scheduled for fall 1996 is designed to
focus more intensively on the status of the Great Lakes coastal
ecosystem, which includes the coastal shorelands, coastal wetlands,
and coastal or nearshore waters. A major objective of SOLEC '96
is to examine the effects of human activity-and particularly land-use
practices-on the coastal ecosystem. The present paper is designed
to provide background information that will facilitate discussion
of the status of the nearshore waters element of Great Lakes coastal
ecosystems.
2.0 The Nearshore Waters as a Significant Natural
Element of the Great Lakes Basin Ecosystem
The Great Lakes basin ecosystem covers about 760,000 km2
(USEPA
and GC 1995), spans 9o of latitude and 19o
of longitude, and lies halfway between the equator and the North
Pole in a lowland corridor that extends from the Gulf of Mexico
to the Arctic Ocean (Figure 1). The Great Lakes, which are the
most prominent feature of this system, have a combined surface
area of about 244,000 km2, a volume of 22,700 km3,
and are the largest single collection of fresh water on the surface
of the earth, excluding the polar ice caps (TNC 1994). The Great
Lakes basin ecosystem has been divided into major elements by
TNC (1994), Dodge and Kavetsky (1995), and Edsall (1996). These
elements basically include open lake (including nearshore and
offshore waters); connecting channel; wetland (including coastal
and inland wetland); tributary; coastal shore; lakeplain; and
terrestrial inland. This paper focuses on the Nearshore Waters
as a significant element of the Great Lakes basin ecosystem.
Figure 1. The Great Lakes Basin Ecosystem

2.1 A Definition of Nearshore Waters
The nearshore waters largely occupy a band of varying width around
the perimeter of each lake between the land and the deeper offshore
waters of the lake (Figure 2). The band is narrowest where the
slope of the lake bed is steep and continuous. More specifically,
as we define them for this paper, the nearshore waters begin at
the shoreline or the lakeward edge of the coastal wetlands and
extend offshore to the deepest lake-bed depth contour, where the
thermocline typically intersects with the lake bed in late summer
or early fall. In Lake Superior, the boundary between the nearshore
and offshore waters typically occurs at about the 10-m depth contour
(Bennett 1978). In the other four Great Lakes, which are farther
south and display a wider range of temperatures seasonally, the boundary between the nearshore
and offshore waters may occur as deep as the 30-m depth contour
(Schertzer et al. 1987). In the central basin of Lake Erie, the
lower limit of the thermocline is highly variable and responds
to meteorological events. A detailed set of records collected
in 1979 (Schertzer et al. 1987) shows that the thermocline depth
in central Lake Erie increased in the May-to-September period
and that the bottom of the thermocline extended to 24 m in mid-September
immediately before thermal stratification ended. Thus, virtually
all of Lake Erie's central basin would have been considered to
be nearshore waters in 1979. The temperature of the nearshore
waters at the lake bed in summer in all five lakes exceeds 15oC
and may reach 25oC in portions of Lake Erie. In winter,
the nearshore waters are typically covered with ice, and the water
temperature approaches 0oC from surface to bottom (Assel
1986; Assel et al. 1983).
Physical processes such as the lake's thermal cycle and circulation
can have a pronounced influence on water-quality conditions in
the Great Lakes. The major features of the thermal cycle that
affect water quality include stratification characteristics such
as the timing of spring and fall overturn and the temperatures
of the epilimnion and hypolimnion waters, the thermal bar, the
thermocline depth, and upwelling and downwelling dynamics. These
thermal characteristics govern the unique circulation patterns,
especially within the nearshore zone. What follows is a brief
synopsis of some of the relevant characteristics of the seasonal
physical processes and how they affect water-quality concerns
for large lake systems.

The interaction of meteorological and hydrological factors is
responsible for the seasonal thermal response of the lakes. The
basic processes include radiative and turbulent heat exchanges
at the air-water interface, energy storage within the lake, and
net energy flowing into or out of the lake (Schertzer and Sawchuk
1990). Meteorological factors such as radiation, air temperature,
precipitation, and evaporation affect the surface temperature,
while winds provide the mechanical energy required to mix the
heat downwards. Hydrological factors such as inflow and outflow
cause local temperature changes by inducing horizontal movement
and mixing of the lake waters. Solar radiation penetrates into
the water column, affecting the heating of the uppermost layers.
At the temperate latitudes, the Great Lakes are subject to major
seasonal changes in net heat input resulting in their going through
an annual thermal cycle. The Great Lakes are dimictic-that is,
they mix from top to bottom (a process called overturn)
twice yearly, in the spring and in the fall. The timing of the
overturn is closely related to the time when the surface water
temperatures fluctuate through the temperature of maximum density
of fresh water (i.e., 4oC).
As a result of increased surface heating in the early spring,
the nearshore littoral regions begin warming more rapidly than
do the lake's deeper regions. Progressive warming results in nearshore
water temperatures above 4oC while deeper regions remain
below the temperature of maximum density. The region of convergence
between the two horizontal thermal regimes is referred to as the
thermal bar. The thermal bar has been studied extensively in large
lakes (Rodgers 1965; Tikhomirov 1963) to determine the physical
dynamics and also to investigate its impact on water-quality conditions
during the spring. Measurements of the thermal bar have included
satellite images and detailed observation of temperature, current
velocity, and optical characteristics, as well as biological and
chemical characteristics. Satellite images have clearly indicated
that the thermal bar is a zone of convergence not only for water
masses of different temperature but also for floating debris.
Of practical significance for water-quality concerns is that the
sharp density front across the thermal bar effectively limits
nearshore/offshore exchange of pollutants and thus affects the
nearshore water quality. Meteorological conditions such as heating
and wind mixing affect the rate at which the thermal bar progresses
offshore to the midlake. In the Great Lakes, this process can
take as long as six weeks (Schertzer and Murthy 1994).
Figure 3. Thermal Stratification Cycle in Lake Ontario

Figure 3 illustrates the thermal stratification cycle in Lake
Ontario based on measurements made on a midlake cross-section
(Simons and Schertzer 1987a). Figure 3a is a time-series of eastward
wind stress. The wind stress plays a dominant role in the stratification
process. Figure 3b shows isotherms along the cross-lake transect.
The isotherms for May 17-18 clearly show isothermal conditions
in the midlake (T less than 4oC) and the development
of the thermal bar on both shores. Due to topographic effects
(i.e., the depth of the water and the configuration of the bottom
and shoreline influence both the temperature and the circulation),
the thermal bar is more developed along the shallower north shore
compared to the deeper south shore. It is of interest to note
the progression of the thermal bar towards the centre of the lake
as the heating intensifies towards the midsummer period. Typical
summer stratification occurs when the surface water temperature
reaches 4oC over the entire lake and the thermal bar
disappears.

Summer stratification is characterized by warmer, less dense water
at the surface layers and cooler, denser water in the lower layer.
Progressive heating results in the development of a stable stratification
and a well-defined epilimnion (warm water), mesolimnion (transition
temperatures), and hypolimnion (cool water) layer. It is also
interesting to note (from Figure 3b, July 16-17) that the thermocline
depth is not uniform over the whole lake. The 10oC
isotherm is highlighted to mark the approximate depth of the thermocline
in Lake Ontario.
Dynamic processes that have an impact on the temperature distribution
in large lakes include upwelling and downwelling, internal waves
(along the thermocline), and Kelvin waves (coastally trapped waves
that propagate along the shoreline, particularly after large storms)
(Simons and Schertzer 1987b). With respect to upwelling and downwelling
processes, strong easterly winds along the axis of Lake Ontario
will cause a surface drift to the right, which can result in tilting
the thermocline. Satellite digital temperature data, along with
surveillance data, has demonstrated large-scale upwelling along
the north shore and downwelling along the south shore of the Lake
Ontario. Figure 4 illustrates an upwelling event in Lake Ontario
along the north shore, with corresponding longshore (easterly)
velocity distribution. In this case, the thermocline tilting along
the nearshore zone is so intense that a major "outbreak"
of cold hypolimnion water has upwelled to the surface; 4oC
water extends 2 km from the shore. Between 2 km and 3 km offshore,
there is a very intense temperature gradient, from 6oC
to 12oC. The velocity distribution clearly shows that
the upwelling event has resulted in weaker longshore currents in the upwelled region closer to shore and in the formation
of a "coastal jet," with velocities ranging from 35
cm s-1 to 60 cm s-1 (Csanady
and Scott 1974). The higher current speeds within the region of
the coastal jet are highly effective in transporting and dispersing
pollutants along the nearshore zone. The persistence of upwelling
events depends on the duration of the strong wind event. During
an upwelling episode, the nearshore waters are replenished with
nutrient-rich hypolimnetic waters; thus, upwelling affects the
nearshore water quality.
Hydrological factors also have a significant effect on a lake's
dynamic processes and water quality. Whereas pollutants can be
introduced to lakes through loading from precipitation, tributaries,
and land runoff, inputs from connecting channels can play a significant
role in introducing and redistributing substances in a large lake.
Connecting channels among the Great Lakes include the St. Marys
River, the Straits of Mackinac, the Detroit River, the Niagara
River, and the St. Lawrence River. Lake Ontario, being at the
downstream end of the Great Lakes, receives large inflows from
the Niagara River. Water-quality analyses of the Niagara River
have shown high concentrations of toxic chemicals that are introduced
into Lake Ontario. Much research has been conducted to investigate
the dynamics of the Niagara River inflow into Lake Ontario (Murthy
and Miners 1989). The nearshore thermal structure is altered significantly
by the inflow: the warmer Niagara River plume extends beyond the
river mouth in excess of 10 km, after which it eventually mixes
with the ambient lake water. The vertical extent of the Niagara
River plume can be 8 m to 10 m, with the warmer inflowing water
developing a frontal structure as it enters the lake (Murthy et
al. 1986). The gradient across the thermal front depends on the
time of year and therefore on the difference between the temperature
of the inflowing water and the ambient lake temperatures.
Prevailing wind conditions and lake circulation patterns determine
the spread of the Niagara River plume in Lake Ontario (Murthy
and Schertzer 1994). In most circumstances, a plume develops from
the Niagara River mouth and tends to extend eastward along the
south shore of the lake. Figure 5 illustrates an example of the
spatial extent of the Niagara River plume, as determined by progressively
tracking the position of drifters within the current. In this
example, inflowing water (bearing its load of pollutants) generally
flows out of the mouth to a distance of approximately 10 km. In
the initial phase, horizontal velocities from the Niagara River
mouth are reduced significantly, and the river water is vertically
well mixed over the shallow bar area. Beyond this initial phase,
the river plume is bent over in response to lakewide circulation
and the prevailing winds. In most cases, the river plume is diverted
to the east, and the weakly buoyant plume responds to the prevailing
winds and lakewide circulation forces. Figure 5 shows that in
the transition phase, a large clockwise eddy of between 10 km
and 12 km in diameter is formed to the east of the Niagara River
mouth. The eddy appears often and last for a few days. From a
water-quality standpoint, river outflow that is entrained into
this zone of low net transport is effectively isolated from the
mixing effects of the main shore-parallel currents. Consequently,
this nearshore area can be a zone in which fine particulate material
is deposited. As shown in the inset of Figure 5, the Niagara River
plume continues eastward along the south shore and around to the
north shore of the lake. Considering the dynamics and characteristics
of large inflows from connecting channels such as the Niagara
River is significant from a water-quality standpoint, since such
inflows are responsible for transporting and distributing contaminants
and other pollutants over the lake.

Coastal boundary layer characteristics during the lake's thermally
stratified period are shown in Figure 6 (from Murthy and Schertzer
1994). The alongshore component dominates the flow field, peaking
at a distance of between 2 km and 3 km from the shore. This peak
divides the flow field into two distinct zones. Closer to the
shore, an inner boundary layer flow develops, with bottom friction
gradually bringing the flow to a halt at the shoreline (frictional
boundary layer). Beyond this, an outer boundary layer develops
as a consequence of the adjustment of inertial oscillations to
the shore-parallel flow (inertial boundary layer). Water movements
within this coastal boundary layer are complex, as indicated in
some of the discussion above. Knowing the extent of the coastal
boundary layer is critical for understanding the impact of such
activities as waste disposal through sewage outfalls, large-scale
dumping operations, shore erosion, sediment transport, installation
of coastal structures, land reclamation, and recreation (Murthy
and Schertzer 1994). Since the dilution capability of the nearshore
current regime increases in the first few kilometres of the coastal
boundary layer, effective dispersal of effluents depends on the
distance of the discharge from shore.
During the summer stratified period, the thermocline largely prevents
the transfer of heat and particles from the epilimnion to the
lower layers and thus has water-quality implications. A strong
thermocline acts as a "diffusion floor," suppressing
vertical mixing and inhibiting the transport of mass, momentum,
and heat into the hypolimnion. For a shallow lake, such as the
central basin of Lake Erie, a deep thermocline with a high temperature
gradient has been observed to severely limit the transfer of oxygen
and materials between the upper and lower
layers, often leading to anoxia (Schertzer et al. 1987). Vertical
entrainment across thermal interfaces has also been observed after
high-wind events (Boyce et al. 1989).

Towards the late summer, large lakes such as Lake Ontario attain
their highest temperatures and heat storage. After the period
of maximum heat storage, surface heat losses to the atmosphere
occur through radiative and turbulent exchange processes (Schertzer
and Sawchuk 1990). Since the heat losses are not uniform over
the entire lake volume, there can be significant lags in the seasonal
vertical temperature distribution. Surface heat losses and mixing
processes in the fall result in decreasing the lake's mean heat
content. With strong storm episodes, the depth of the mixed layer
increases until the entire water column is mixed around 4oC
to 5oC. The breakdown of thermal stratification is
commonly referred to as the annual fall overturn. The period of
thermal stratification varies for each Great Lake according to
its latitudinal location and bathymetry. For Lake Ontario, thermal
stratification generally extends from late June to October.
As a consequence of cooling coupled with wind mixing, the temperature
of the main water mass continues to become more uniform, eventually
attaining the temperature of maximum density. Because the rate
of cooling is higher in the shallower nearshore regions, horizontal
surface temperature gradients can occur and persist in winter
months. During the late fall and early winter, mixing of cold
inshore water with warmer offshore water may set up a thermal
bar phenomenon similar to the one described earlier.
Towards the end of winter, the entire water mass cools down to below 4oC, with the coldest water remaining close to the shore. During winter, ice begins to form in the nearshore waters of the Great Lakes in December and January and in the deeper offshore waters in February and March, reaching its greatest extent in late February or early March. Expected maximum ice covers are as follows: for Lake Erie, 90 percent; for Lake Superior, 75 percent; for Lake Huron, 68 percent; for Lake Michigan, 45 percent; and for Lake Ontario, 24 percent (Assel et al. 1983). During a severe winter, maximum ice cover can exceed 90 percent on all the Great Lakes (Assel et al. 1996); during a mild winter, maximum ice cover is usually limited to the nearshore waters (Assel 1985). The type of ice that forms in the nearshore waters includes flat shorefast ice (which forms under calm conditions); brash ice, which consists of a matrix of ice of various sizes and shapes (and which forms over several days or weeks as episodes of ice formation and breakup occur in the more exposed nearshore areas in response to high winds followed by calm); and icefoot complex (which forms as waves of freezing spray build up mounds of ice and ice ridges along lee lake shores-usually adjacent to deep waters that do not freeze until later in the winter) (Evenson and Cohn 1979; Marsh et al. 1973; O'Hara and Ayers 1972). Ice cover is an important climatic variable that affects the winter ecosystem (Vanderploeg et al. 1992), the fishery (Taylor et al. 1987), the economy (Niimi 1982), and the weather of the Great Lakes (Peace and Sykes 1966; Petterssen and Calabrese 1959). An extensive ice cover can also affect lake temperature and the length of the stratification period, since ice cover can decrease heat losses from the surface and can also affect the initial period of heating of the lake in early spring months.
Recently, there has been growing consensus among climate modelers
that global air temperatures will rise with increasing concentrations
of atmospheric greenhouse gases, particularly carbon dioxide,
methane, nitrous oxide, and freons. There is less agreement about
the magnitude of estimated temperature change, although most estimates
range from 2oC to 4oC. Observation of thermal
stratification characteristics for warm years has implied that
warmer conditions may result in higher lake temperatures, lengthened
stratification periods and significantly reduced ice cover (Rodgers
1987; Schertzer and Sawchuk 1990). Preliminary modelling investigations
incorporating GCM model projections under steady-state, transient,
and transposition scenarios have indicated that climatic warming
may alter basin hydrological conditions and lake surface heat
exchanges. Such changes can be expected to have an impact on the
mainlake and nearshore thermal regimes of the Great Lakes. Further
integrated research is required to quantify the potential physical,
chemical, biological, and water-quality ramifications of climatic
warming for the Great Lakes.